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If we wait for the danger to become clear, it could be too late.

Joe Biden, USA

Overview

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Expectations of Chinese invulnerability have been built up to such a level that any setback would severely impact the credibility and hence support for the CCP regime.

The Cold War transformed the way the world understands the concept of security. The primacy laid on military security began to be questioned after the misadventures in Vietnam and Afghanistan by the U.S. and the U.S.S.R, respectively. In 1994, the human security approach was introduced as a part of the Human Development Report (HDR).

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A shift of India to the Alliance of Democracies that is forming to counter the Sino-Russian alliance would erase the gains made by Moscow and Beijing in the Middle East and elsewhere. Those in thrall to Lutyens Logic give the false analogy that an alliance with the US would involve following the US lead in all theatres.

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The Story thus Far

The year 2020 has been one of the most difficult years for the world. COVID 19 brought the entire world on its knees. India initially took pride in its ability to fight the pandemic until it crossed the figure of one lakh. The figure continues to mount. As if that was not enough, another issue that has made and continues to make headlines pertains to China’s incursion in the Galwan Valley, Depsang Plateau and its forward movement into Indian territory by way of 8 km in Pangong Tso Lake in Eastern Ladakh.

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The latest news from the Line of Actual Control (LAC) between India and China is that effective measures are being taken to disengage at the Galwan valley and other areas in Eastern Ladakh and that the situation is stable and improving, according to Chinese sources. India has also reported that the Chinese were seen removing their temporary structures and completed withdrawal of its troops from the face-off site in Hot Springs in Eastern Ladakh.

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Hong Kong security law has ensured that Xi has joined Putin in the list of leaders with whom real compromise with the US and its allies is no longer possible.

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The idea of civilizational state has been around for a long time. However, a lot of analysis of this notion remains detached from the ground reality. What goes unreported is how the notion of civilization tends to be subsumed under political nativism, victimhood mindset and inward-looking economic practices in democracies and single party regimes alike where the notions of a perfect national history are used for grandstanding purposes.

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Two months after Hitler invaded the Soviet Union, on August 14, 1941, the heads of government of the United States and the United Kingdom issued the Atlantic Charter, a set of principles that were intended to define the world order after the eventual defeat of Nazi Germany.

The principles enshrined in the Atlantic Charter inspired a set of organizations and structures that are still in existence today. On January 1, 1942, the nations fighting the 1939-1945 war together gave a call for what was to become, on October 24, 1945, the United Nations Organization. 

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Hong Kong has been volatile for more than a year. The top down push for assimilation exerted by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has exposed the existing fault-lines between the people of Hong Kong and the Chinese leadership. It has also exacerbated the already strong demand for greater democracy and autonomy. In addition, the economic rise and opening up of mainland China added a new challenge for Hong Kong on the economic front. With new cities like Shanghai flourishing, Hong Kong has been struggling to maintain its economic uniqueness too.